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College Football Week 5 Danger Games for Favorites

Ross Benjamin discusses a couple of college football week 5 favorites that could be caught looking ahead, and may lack the intensity of its upcoming opponents.

Toledo @ BYU 9:00 PM ET (Friday 9/30)

Game #107-108

Despite their independent status, BYU has a killer first half of their schedule. Prior to this Friday night home game against Toledo, the Cougars have played Arizona, Utah, UCLA, and a had week 4 contest with West Virginia. Speaking of the West Virginia game, it was played at a neutral site in Landover, Maryland. Now with just 5-days of rest, and traveling back across 2 time zones, BYU returns home to play a team from the MAC. Following Friday’s contest is a trip to East Lansing to play nationally ranked Michigan State. Then it’s home against Mississippi State and at Boise State after that.

Football

I’m sure when avid BYU fans glanced at their team’s schedule, Toledo was the least concern of their first 8 opponents. However, don’t go to sleep on the Rockets. Entering college football week 4 action, Toledo had gone 15-2 over their previous 17 games, and covered on 14 of those occasions. By the way, Toledo pulled a major upset a season ago, winning at Arkansas 16-12 as a 23.0-point underdog. The ensuing week they proceeded to beat Iowa State of the Big 12. The Rockets will also be the beneficiaries of playing this game with 12 days of rest. Toledo will have an unblemished 3-0 record heading into this game, and covered easily on each of those occasions.

At the time of this writing, there were no college football odds on this contest. Nevertheless, Toledo will be an underdog, and they’ll get serious consideration for one of my college football betting tips.

Florida @ Vanderbilt 12:00 PM ET (Saturday 10/1)

Game #181-182

Florida is coming off an emotional game against arch rival Tennessee, and now has to face SEC weakling Vanderbilt on the road. Next up for the Gators is a home date with perennial SEC power LSU. Just a friendly reminder, Florida narrowly escaped with a 9-7 win as a 20.5-point home favorite against Vanderbilt last season. This will be a lot bigger game for the Commodores than Florida. I wouldn’t be shocked to see the Gators flatter than a pancake, and especially so after squandering a 21-0 lead in their week 4 loss at Tennessee.

I wouldn’t rule the inferior home underdog in this contest, and particularly so when administering my betting tips on college football.

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